Saturday, May 14, 2016

Statistics and Biased Interpretation Thereof




This week Secretary of Energy Moniz tweeted that US CO2 emissions are way down using the chart shown above.  I looked at the chart and came to the conclusion that it is true that CO2 emissions are reduced from a decade ago, but and a big but during the three years Ernie Moniz has been secretary of energy emissions have not gone down at all.  Therefore Dr. Moniz was simply pointing out his own incompetence by publicizing the chart.

When I pointed this out to friends who are so left they can never be right, they complained that I dislike Moniz.  When I pointed this out to right wing nuts who deny global warming, they agreed Moniz was ineffective and went further that he should be impeached for wasting tens of billions of dollars.  The interpretation of data is subject to the bias of the beholder.

I then tested the hypothesis on what right wing nuts would say about the success of solar energy.  These climate change deniers who make Stevie Wonder have twenty twenty vision present charts the show massive growth in the gigawatt hours of solar generation and then disqualify this as still only contributing 0.9% of all the electrons in the grid.  Left wing nuts looking at the same data came to the conclusion that in a decade all fossil fuel fired power generation station will be shut.  Of course I concluded that PV is highly successful and will play a very useful niche role that will grow to approximately 10% in power generation.

People are highly biased and the data are interpreted to reinforce the bias.  Honest interpretation of data requires impartiality and actually not looking at only the mean of the data but the variance within the data set.  I know a professor of decisions sciences at Stanford named Sam Savage who wrote a textbook titled The Flaw of Averages.  Sam says “plans based on average assumptions are wrong on average.”



Over 40 years ago I wrote a master thesis on business decisions using statistical distributions.  The results of my research were then used in gold mining and the decisions under great uncertainty to invest large amounts of capital in a gold mine.  That is why I look at all data presented to me critically and make more profound interpretations of what the data tell.  I must admit though when Ernie Moniz presents any data I just laugh as I know this guy is the living embodiment of Alfred E. Neuman and is a joke of an energy secretary.



Saturday, May 7, 2016

Saudi Oil Minster Al Naimi Fired



You all may wonder who Al Naimi is?  He was the Oil Minister of Saudi Arabia for a couple of decades.

He was fired today


I am quite happy this thug who fleeced the world of trillions of dollars for the past score years is gone.

There are three Als I do not care for, and Naimi was Al number three.  Of course Al number One is the hypocrite and former presidential candidate that was chadded up in 2000.  Al number 2 is Jazeera that saw it US business BLOOMERANG.  Now all we are waiting for is Al number One to go away.

The best chance of the getting Gore to shut up and disappear is the hidden hazardous waste from his Bloom Boxes at Apple in Maiden NC.  Latest news on that is that the EPA and the NC State DNER are telling Apple they are a LARGE generator of hazmat.  LARGE generators are ones that generate over 2,200 pounds a month of hazardous material.

This past week was not good for Apple and their stock is near its 52 week low.  As news filters out that Apple has hundreds of tons a year of hazardous filtered sulfur and benzene waste in Maiden, Apple will have to demand that Al Gore (their board member profited from BLOOMDOGGLE ENERGY  via his relationship with Kleiner Perkins) leave the company .


Two out of three Als are now gone and the third BIG AL will soon be going going gone.  The DONALD will be the GOP candidate and he has already got the Oil Minister of Saudi Arabia fired.  Both he and HILLARY have promised to JAIL powerful executives.  Big AL you are all fired up.


Saturday, April 30, 2016

Earth Day Gone and Probably Forgotten



My last blog had the beautiful Earth Day Rainbow.  Just like the rainbow Earth Day is over and life continues in the same old way.

The primaries are exciting and it looks like the Donald will take on Hillary.   Hillary has promised to jail executives who are very powerful and Donald will build a wall.  Seeing will be believing in either case.  My guess is neither will jail Al Gore for his crimes against nature and humanity in the BLOOMDOGGLE , and the operatives of the complex are very happy the Bernie is not going to be president.

What does this mean for Green Energy?  Actually not very much!  The US is essentially irrelevant in green space.  We failed in solar, we failed in cellulosic fuels, we failed in thermodynamics, and we certainly failed in honesty.

Latest on the BLOOMDOGGLE is that Apple and Bloom sell electrons to Duke Power in Maiden NC.  The Bloom Boxes do not really power the data center.  The data center is powered by dirty cheap power from Duke Energy and expensive pretend green energy from the Bloom Boxes is sold to Duke Energy who in turn rip off other ratepayers. 

Duke and Kleiner Perkins are tight.  Co-investors in a business called Spruce Financing and Duke also is propping up Aquion batteries which is one of the last standing Kleiner greentech companies.



OK we know that Duke, Apple, Bloom, and Kleiner are in bed together.  The real question here is who knows there is hazardous solid waste that is not permitted and ends up being transported across state lines to Texas for “treatment”.    Bloom knew years ago they had the hazardous waste.  I told Kleiner Perkins years ago they have the hazardous waste.  I told Apple over a year ago they have the hazardous waste, and I told Duke yesterday they have the hazardous waste.  It will be interesting if these four powerful corporations can evade Hillary’s promise to have them fail and to jail their executives.  I know thermodynamics and that tells me by statistical analysis there is as much chance of this happening as Kasich being the nominee for the GOP out of Cleveland.


What I do know is the 50 Bloom Coffins in Maiden NC are in the bottom right corner of the photo next to the substation and each time an electron is dispatched into Duke’s grid for sale at high price to a ratepayer in NC, more unpermitted hidden hazardous waste is generated and Al Gore and cronies make money while the poor are schlonged.   I love Trumpie and his campaign words.   But I actually think my invention of the words BLOOMDOGGLE and BLOOMERANG should be included in the Oxford Dictionary before some of crude Yiddish words become part of everyday language.  BLOOMDOGGLE and BLOOMERANG are such elegant and refined words even though perpetrators of the eco-crimes associated with the words are so vile.

Saturday, April 23, 2016

Earth Day Rainbow



Late yesterday afternoon it rained here in the San Francisco Bay Area.  This is a fairly uncommon event for this time of the year.  We had a pretty wet winter and reservoirs from the Golden Gate up north are full thanks to the El Nino. 

Yesterday was Earth Day and the planet added another 100 million metric tons of CO2 to the atmosphere.  Mother Nature wanted to remind the Green Machine that there is still some hope to slow down this madness.  That is why I believe when I looked out the window over the lagoon I saw the photo of the rainbow that is above.

Israel Kamakawiwo’ole  (Bruddah Iz) added this verse from A Wonderful World to his Somewhere Over The Rainbow:
Well I see trees of green and red roses too,
I'll watch them bloom for me and you
And I think to myself
What a wonderful world

The photo shows the green tree on the left that my daughter climbed as a kid.  She is long grown up now.  The lagoon is the place she learned to swim.  I remember fondly the times she was a child in our care.  The photo was taken from the dining table where we were celebrating Passover Seder.  Yes Earth Day and Passover coincided yesterday.

Passover is the celebration of Freedom.  Bruddah Iz also dreamed of sovereignty for Native Hawaiians.  Maybe the Rainbow was a message from Bruddah Iz or maybe it was just a fluke that rain and sunshine happened to occur in the right spot at the right moment?  Either way I know that Louis Armstrong who is noted for A Wonderful World was an African American who became part of a Jewish family.




So maybe it was Satchmo who sent us that rainbow to tell us Happy Passover?   For sure the message of the rainbow is that we have a wonderful world and it is high time to deploy real science and real engineering solutions to reduce and end emissions and pollution.  We need a Budding Red Rose Solution not a Wilted Bloom Box Greenwash.  Mostly we need much more brotherhood and a lot less anti-Semitism, racism, stupidity, greed, lies, greenwashing, corruption, and hatred.

Peace and Chag Sameach

Sunday, April 17, 2016

Peet’s Versus Starbucks On The Tiburon Peninsula



Foe almost 20 years on a daily basis I have bought a Venti Soy No Foam Latte from the Starbucks at Strawberry Village.  My wife drinks this as her source of protein as well as caffeine for the day.  The drink was great for 19 years and 8 months and has become terrible for only the past 4 months.  I asked the folks at Starbucks if they had changed their supplier of Soy Milk?  No they have not.  Did they change their coffee?  No they have not. 

I do know that some rookie Baristas have a hard time with Soy as it has a propensity to foam and gets burned if the temperature is too hot.  I had the barista check the temperature of the steamed soy milk to see if that had changed?  No it had not.  I simply was bewildered until I realized the espresso machines at the Strawberry Starbucks’ store are very old and are approaching ten years since the store was remodeled. 

I then found out the machines are hundreds of thousands of shots overdue for replacement.  My source is a Starbucks worker. I then found out the machines significantly dilute the soy milk during the steaming process due to water condensing.  To test if the espresso machines at Strawberry Village are the fault, I started buying the daily Venti No Foam Soy Latte at the Starbucks store on East Blithedale.  The drink returned to its former glory of being tasty and not watered down.  I therefore had found the reason why for 4 months I had bought over 120 horrible tasting drinks and spent well over $500 for the trick of Starbucks selling me water milk not 100% soy milk.

As I am a Starbucks gold card holder since 2008, I called the customer service number.  I spoke with a supervisor about a week ago.  I was promised that within 3 days the region manager would call me.  Of course I have not received a call and of course Starbucks hopes I just go away.  As part of my experiment in the pursuit of good tasting coffee, I started taste testing the 20 ounce soy no foam latte at Peet’s in the Cove.  It is a wonderful drink.  I also found out that Peet’s gives customers three shots of expresso in this size drink not the two shots in the Starbucks’ Venti.  Pete’s also uses straight up soy milk not vanilla impregnated soy milk.


I have to say Peet’s beats Starbucks by a mile for this particular drink in this size.   The only Starbucks store that I now occasionally buy the Venti no foam soy latte at is the one on Blythedale.  Also by saving the two extra miles each way I have a lower carbon footprint by frequenting Peet’s.  I have probably bought 7,000 Venti no foam soy lattes at Starbucks,and If I last another 20 years I may match this number at Peet’s.  The way I feel about Starbucks is they shorted me by 7,000 shots and sold me watered down soy.  I am pretty miffed about Starbucks and may soon have to go after them with the same vigor that I have gone after Bloom Energy.  Let's see if the region manager calls me.

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

Kaiser Bloom and Greenwashing


An Email to the VP for Sustainability for Kaiser

Ms. Gerwig

I know that Kaiser has tried to be green.  Sadly you have been hoodwinked by Bloom Energy and the 4.3 megawatts of power generation at 7 Kaiser sites are anything but green, they are GANGRENE.

NBC copied did report on Greenwashing by Bloom Energy and Ms. Gerwig on behalf of Kaiser chose to defend Bloom in the first of four reports by NBC.


I now have conclusive evidence that Bloom Boxes generate hazardous solid waste that is hauled to an EPA licensed hazmat site in Texas.  Kaiser is therefore a generators of many tons of undocumented hazardous waste from their Bloom Boxes.

I have copied the CPUC as Kaiser benefitted from many dollars of SGIP funds from the Bloom Boxes.  Also copied is my Congressman as there was a lot of federal incentive for these Dirty Boxes.

Attached is a letter from the head of the US EPA Philadelphia office to the Delaware Cabinet Secretary for the environment stating EPA position that the waste is hazardous and should be handled accordingly.

Below is my Blog on the waste and Bloom's Twinkie Defense.  


Also attached is a recent article I wrote.

Ms. Gerwig please contact me as I am now writing a piece on how Kaiser is a part of the Bloomdoggle.

Thanks 

Lindsay Leveen The Green Machine

Saturday, April 9, 2016

Green Is Good



Often I spend my time exposing Gangrene folks who Greenwash.  That is the job of the Thermonator but on Greenexplored dot com I will now mainly focus on Green that is Good.  The LED blog is an example of how green tech that is really green can make a real difference. 

So what else is really green and making a difference.  My friend Ronni in Australia who started and runs Oz Harvest is really doing a bang up job making sure food does not end up in a garbage dump.


Ronni and her organization have made sure that 45 million meals end up in people’s mouths and not in some garbage dump.  Six years back when Ronni started Oz Harvest she was one of the few in the world to do this on an industrial scale.  She and I went to high school together many years ago and we linked again on Facebook.  Every year or so I help the team at Oz Harvest calculate their negative carbon footprint.

Yes they prevent methane forming from food decomposing in garbage dumps.  As methane is more of a greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide that we breathe out after digesting food, using food for meals instead of waste means a negative carbon footprint in the enterprise of donating food that otherwise would have been wasted.  The negative carbon footprint holds even after netting out emissions for food refrigeration, reheating, and delivery.


Oz Harvest is a world leader in their field and many other organizations in many other countries are now following Oz Harvest’s lead.

Here is an article on the BBC from a couple days ago that reveals interesting global statistics on food waste.


Who said Australians simply were beach bums?  When it comes to preventing food waste the Ozzies are world class.  Ronni even got to meet royalty when Camila and Charles popped in for tea and scones.



I do hope to visit Australia one day soon and also pay a visit to Oz Harvest and see my old high school chum Ronni.