By: James F. Lavin, CEO Electron Storage, Inc.
If fossil fuel use, as advocated by many, ceased tomorrow,
anthropomorphic global warming would indeed be dramatically slowed. But most climate activists and most
politicians haven’t considered the potential costs of such an abrupt
transition; if tomorrow fossil fuels vanished, most of the humanity would be
dead within a month. There would be no food, no water, no
sewage, no fertilizer, no communication.
I have read endless articles on the moral hazards of
geoengineering research, and the moral hazards of CDR (Carbon Dioxide
Removal) due to the potential that they might delay the end of fossil
fuel use, but I have not seen any articles on the real potential hazards of
government policies, mandates, bank regulator dictums, lawsuits, societal opprobrium,
and shareholder resolutions aimed at ending the use of fossil fuels.
The precautionary principle so often used with regard to
drugs and chemicals is to be very careful and ban the use of unproven
technologies that may cause harm until proven otherwise, yet even optimists
admit that 40% of the technologies we need to achieve net zero carbon emissions
by 2050 have yet to be developed.
The clean energy supply and energy distribution system to replace fossil
fuels doesn’t yet exist. If the
incredibly rapid, difficult and technologically difficult doesn’t happen a
schedule dictated by political sound bites, and we have crippled our fossil
fuel distribution networks and power generation networks, the risk is to
billions of lives.
Why doesn’t the precautionary principle, so aggressively
applied to minor plant genetic modifications, or, say, vaccines,
apply to the grand experiment mandating the end of fossil fuel use? There
is too much comfort that fossil fuels and fossil fuel infrastructure will be
there as a backstop despite every attempt to defund and cripple them.
Why aren’t we discussing the moral and real hazards involved
in cutting off investment in new oil and gas fields, which are required to
maintain earth’s population until we have proven on a wide-scale we can achieve
transition? Oil and gas supply,
power plants, and the pipelines to distribute them take decades to develop; if
a transition away from fossil fuels is ineffectively managed, they can’t simply
be turned on at a moment’s notice to replace lost energy. Suppose we can’t develop and deploy myriad
technologies at the massive scale needed to effectuate the energy transition--
and we don’t have the fossil fuels and fossil fuel infrastructure still in
place because we have starved them of investment?
Because I still live here, let’s discuss New York. New York is behind only Rhode Island in
energy efficiency; it uses much less fuel for transportation than other states
due to the extensive mass transit use in New York City. It had one of the least carbon-intensive
power grids due to hydropower largely from Niagara Falls, and until the
shutdown of the Indian Point nuclear plant, 1/3rd of its grid power
was nuclear. NYSERDA has been taxing
ratepayers to supposedly aggressively funding energy efficiency and transition
projects for 45 years.
Despite these advantages, New York, to achieve net
zero (ignoring the fact that New York imports many carbon-intensive
products and foodstuffs) has to TRIPLE the capacity of the electrical
transmission and distribution grid and find massive new clean power sources
capable of meeting winter peak demand. There’s not a lot of sun in
upstate New York in the winter, and electricity needs will grow
dramatically as home heating is forced to switch from fossil fuels to electric
heat pumps.
But there has been no building of new large scale electrical
transmission and distribution lines.
There is opposition to on-land wind farms, and the US government just cancelled
two of the proposed offshore wind projects.
Despite this the government has blithely banned fracking and prohibited
new pipeline development. No progress,
no feasible plan, and more proclamations competing for how soon New York must
stop emitting CO2.
However, lets image that the sky is filled with linemen
running new electric lines, no lawsuits delay massive new high voltage
transmission lines, everyone wants modular nukes (assuming they are developed)
in their backyards, multiple communities don’t object to massive wind projects
everywhere, and somehow gas supply remains robust. Even in this fantasia, what happens as
gas main volume drops until they are uneconomic to maintain for those
communities and individuals who couldn’t transition to electric heat and
electric cars, and electric apparatuses for drying crops?
Government officials and regulators proclaim and mandate the
end of fossil fuels and enforce these proclamations with actions from banning
pipelines to stopping new gas connections to forcing fossil fuel power plant
retirements and dictating disinvestment in fossil fuels—but where is the
responsibility for their citizens’ safety? Is there any other area where they operate
with such a true disregard for human life while being praised for it? This is all with regard to New York. The potential problems imposed upon the less
developed world by banning oil and gas are much greater. Where is the discussion of “climate justice”
for killing fossil fuels without adequate, inexpensive replacements?
I believe CO2 buildup threatens life as we know it,
endangering endless species and altering the planet. I have dedicated the past 8 years of my life
to CDR technologies and discussions. If
we are late in stopping global warming, we create a series of difficulties,
most of which we can adapt to or mitigate as we continue to develop solutions. If we prematurely cripple fossil fuel infrastructure,
we will kill billions. This real,
and moral, hazard needs to be front and center in any honest discussion of
stopping global warming.
شركة إنشاء مسابح بالدمام
ReplyDeleteشركة تنظيف مسابح بالدمام
عزل مسابح
Great article. Sounds as if there are too many cooks in the kitchen trying to 'save the world from the 'corrupt use' of fossil fuels '. Trouble is, none of them know how to cook.
ReplyDeleteJim, thank you for this. And thank you for your dedication. Have you considered posting this sobering account of what will occur when the current, oil-intensive supportive infrastructure comes to a grinding halt in the LinkedIn matrix?
ReplyDeleteDelhi Escorts Are highly efficient and very well-organized We have some of the hottest Delhi Kalkaji escorts Girls available to book now, online or Phone. Search Vip Models Call Girls Service by location, by reviews, or price range. Kalkaji Escorts | Delhi Escorts
ReplyDeletehii am in delhi gurugram you are finding goood lookig model in gourgaon escort just for a fun call me jaisica find model gurugram for good intentenment.
ReplyDeletecall girls gurugram
gurugram call girls
gurugram escort service
call girls gurgaon
call girls in gurgaon
Gurgaon escort service
Gurgaon call girls
شركه مكافحة حشرات بجدة
ReplyDeleteشركه مكافحة صراصير بجدة
شركه مكافحة بق الفراش بجدة
شركه مكافحة النمل الابيض بجدة
شركة تنظيف بالبخار بجدة
ReplyDeleteشركة تنظيف شقق فلل كنب مجالس موكيت سجاد خيام فرشات خزانات مكيفات زوليات مدارس مكاتب استراحات شركة تنظيف بالرياض إبداع متناهي في تحقيق كل ما تبية شركة غسيل فيلا شقه خيم بيت شعر التعقيم التنشيف التجفيف التنظيف المثالي
شركة تنظيف واجهات زجاج بالرياض
شركة تنظيف منازل بالرياض
شركة تنظيف شقق بالرياض
شركة تنظيف موكيت بالرياض
Very Nice Post. Beautifull photos. Thanks for sharing. Contact @ +91-9818720667 Visit :
ReplyDeleteBest Escort Service Delhi
College Girl Escorts Service In Delhi
Escorts Service In Gurgaon
Escorts Service In Mahipalpur
Escorts Service In Karolbagh
Independent Escorts Service Noida
Escorts Service In Aerocity
Escorts Service In Connaught Place
Very intresting post. Like to see more from you.Beautiful pictures. Contact +91-9821283488 or visit us:
ReplyDeleteEscort service in Delhi
Gurgaon Escorts service
Mahipalpur Escorts service
Karolbagh Escorts service
Noida Escorts service
Saket Escorts service
Aerocity Escorts service
Greater Kailash Escorts service
ReplyDeleteرقم صيانة اريستون
رقم صيانة بيكو
رقم صيانة دايو
رقم صيانة الكتروستار
رقم صيانة اندست
رقم صيانة كريازي
رقم صيانة ال جى
رقم صيانة الاسكا
رقم صيانة سامسونج
رقم صيانة فريش
رقم صيانة يونيون اير
رقم صيانة يونيفرسال
رقم صيانة وايت ويل
رقم صيانة وستنجهاوس
رقم صيانة زانوسى
رقم صيانة بوش
رقم صيانة سيمنس
رقم صيانة براندت
رقم صيانة جنرال اليكتريك
رقم صيانة هاير
رقم صيانة ميلا
رقم صيانة ويرلبول
رقم صيانة فريجيدير
رقم صيانة ايه اي جي
رقم صيانة هيتاشي
رقم صيانة جاك
رقم صيانة كلفينيتور
رقم صيانة باناسونيك
رقم صيانة فيليبس
رقم صيانة شارب
رقم صيانة توشيبا
رقم صيانة ادميرال
رقم صيانة كاريير
رقم صيانة ميتاج
رقم صيانة هوفر
رقم صيانة سوني
رقم صيانة هايسنس
رقم صيانة جليم جاز
رقم صيانة جولدي
رقم صيانة طومسون
رقم صيانة تكنوجاز
رقم صيانة وايت بوينت
رقم صيانة فاجور
رقم صيانة جالانز
I became a big admirer after reading your post. HP Google Cloud Print Setup steps are clear and easy to understand
ReplyDeleteGreat job and I have no other words to comment
I'm impressed and excited to know more about your profile
Packers and Movers Hyderabad Give Certified and Verified Service Providers, Cheap and Best ###Office Relocation Charges, ***Home Shifting, ✔✔✔Goods Insurance worth Rs. 10,000, Assurance for Local and Domestic House Shifting. Safe and Reliable Household Shifting Services in Hyderabad with Reasonable Packers and Movers Price Quotation @ Packers And Movers Hyderabad
ReplyDeleteEscorts service in Gurugram
ReplyDeleteNoida Escort service
Checking out the information of any celebrity on net worth to know how much their name and fame worth and their family members.
ReplyDeleteشركة تنظيف مكيفات بالرياض
ReplyDeleteشركة تنظيف كنب بالرياض
شركة تنظيف خزانات بالرياض
شركة عزل خزانات بالرياض
Great article, I love your writing technique, it’s outstanding. I will surely revisit. Deep Good Morning Message for Her
ReplyDeleteThanks for sharing. I found a lot of interesting information here. A really good post, very thankful and hopeful that you will write many more posts like this one. You may want to see short memorial quotes
ReplyDeleteGreat post, Thank you for sharing this amazing post, I really appreciate your work You may want to check out happy birthday in heaven, dad
ReplyDeleteThis blog will show you the fastest, most reliable way to get help with QuickBooks. You will find numerous live chat options that are either 24/7 or available during business hours. When you need support, call QuickBooks Customer Service at +1 855-742-7868 or visit their website.
ReplyDeleteQuickbooks Customer Service representatives can help you solve any problem that you're having with the software. You can call the number +1 888-272-4881 at any time to speak with a representative. So, if you are having issues with your QuickBooks software, visit Quickbooks Customer Service
ReplyDeleteمركز صيانة كريازي
ReplyDeleteمركز صيانة اندست
مركز صيانة وايت ويل
I just wanted to say that I love every time visiting your wonderful post! Very powerful and have true and fresh information. Thanks for the post and effort! Please keep sharing more such a blog. Net worth
ReplyDeleteThank you! I really enjoyed your post I want to share with you all a useful source. things to do in Charlotte NC Tourtoreview will tell you 15 free yet amazing things to do in Charlotte, NC (North Carolina). From engaging in exciting things-to-do, sightseeing, and exploring impressive tourist attractions, there is a lot to do in this wonderful city.
ReplyDeleteشركة تنظيف خزانات بجدة
ReplyDeleteشركة نقل عفش بجدة
شركة تنظيف بالبخار بجدة
شركة تنظيف كنب بجدة
شركة تنظيف سجاد بجدة
شركة كشف تسربات المياه بالطائف
شركة الاتجاة الواحد
ReplyDeleteشركة مكافحة حشرات بجدة
شركة مكافحة بق الفراش بجدة
شركة مكافحة العته بجدة
شركة مكافحة صراصير بجدة
شركة مكافحة النمل الابيض بجدة
Sand Blasting Machine
ReplyDeleteAre you looking for shot Blasting machine for your industry,
We are the leading manfacturer and provider of Shot Blasting Machine , Sand Blasting Machine, Abrasive materials equipments related to Airo shot blasting industry like SPray gun , Thermal SPray gun etc
Visit our website for more information
Thanks
We are manufactuer of Shot blasting Machine
ReplyDeleteThank you, your article is very good
ReplyDeletewordpress
blogspot
youtube
ប្រដាល់តាមអនឡាញ
This blog is so nice to me. I will keep on coming here again and again. Visit my link as well.. 백링크
ReplyDeleteTo an extraordinary degree beautiful and enthralling post. I was chasing down this sort of data and recognized inspecting this one. Continue posting. Grateful for sharing.
ReplyDelete토토사이트
For the reason that the admin of this website is working, no doubt very shortly it will be well-known, due to its quality contents.
ReplyDelete한국야동
Excellent blog you’ve got here.. It’s difficult to find premium quality writing like yours these days.
ReplyDelete안전놀이터
Enlightening website! We went over your blog and read it and it was incredible to peruse this kind of educational material. Astonishing web journals with loads of valuable data continue to share this sort of content. We will be back soon.
ReplyDeleteRankofy PPC Company In Chandigarh
Rankofy SEO Services In Chandigarh
Personally, if all web owners and bloggers made good content as you did, the net will be much more useful than ever before. You might also like sudden death rest in peace quotes for friend
ReplyDeletePersonally, if all web owners and bloggers made good content as you did, the net will be much more useful than ever before. You might also like walmart carpet cleaner rental near switzerland
ReplyDeletepackers and movers in kharghar
ReplyDeletepackers and movers in dombivli
packers and movers in mulund
packers and movers in chembur
packers and movers in worli
WOW, that was something unique my colleague at Gati Packers and Movers In Mangalore suggest me your blog and I am glad he did. Keep providing such useful information for making us educated much more.
ReplyDeleteDialing Quickbooks Support Phone Number +1 346-414-8256 in the U.S., allows for answers to any question you may have about QuickBooks. It's also important to note that you can find plenty of information online about QuickBooks. The company's website offers support, the answer to many common questions, and other helpful resources.
ReplyDeleteWhen I read your article on this topic, the first thought seems profound and difficult. There is also a bulletin board for discussion of articles and photos similar to this topic on my site, but I would like to visit once when I have time to discuss this topic. 메이저사이트
ReplyDelete
ReplyDeleteHi there
Very nice content and blog, I found it very informative and useful, hope to read more nice articles like this one around here,
Keep sharing the best content,
Best regards!
Your follower
Salvatore from:
Compra de Ingresso on-line – Os ingressos para visitar o Patrimônio Mundial Natural e uma das 7 Maravilhas da Natureza, que abriga as Cataratas do Iguaçu, são limitados e vendidos exclusivamente on-line, com agendamento de dia e horário para o passeio no site Tour Cataratas Cataratas do Iguaçu É importante lembrar que não existe a opção de compra de bilhete físico no parque. É necessário adquirir o ingresso de entrada no Parque Nacional do Iguaçu com antecedência em sites autorizados.
Thanks and take care
Band Baaja Barat Wedding Solution
ReplyDeleteI've seen articles on the same subject many times, but your writing is the simplest and clearest of them. I will refer to 메이저놀이터추천
ReplyDeleteشركة تعقيم بالخبر
ReplyDeleteشركة تنظيف فلل بالخبر
شركة تنظيف كنب بالخبر
شركة تنظيف مجالس بالخبر
شركة تنظيف مكيفات بالخبر
شركة تنظيف منازل بالخبر
You are looking for something quick and convenient when you want to transfer a critical patient from one place to another. Something that would make sure that the situation is being taken care of, without any delay. This is where Delhi air ambulance service cost
ReplyDeletecome into the picture, and they seem to be the only option available when it comes to moving patients from one place to another
شركة نقل عفش بالرياض
ReplyDeleteشركة نقل عفش بجدة
شركة نقل عفش بمكة
شركة نقل عفش بالمدينة المنورة
شركة نقل عفش بخميس مشيط
شركة نقل اثاث بابها
شركات نقل عفش واثاث بجدة
ReplyDeleteشركات نقل عفش بالطائف
اسعار وارقام شركات نقل العفش بالمدينة المنورة
دينا نقل عفش جدة ,افضل دينا
ارخص شركه نقل عفش بجده
دليل شركات نقل العفش بجدة
شركة نقل عفش برابغ ,15 عام خبرة
Online gambling clubs, otherwise called virtual club or web gambling club are an internet based rendition of customary gambling clubs출장안마추천
ReplyDelete출장샵매니저
.
This article is too informative. This is all with regard to New York. The potential problems imposed upon the less developed world by banning oil and gas are much greater. Now it's time to avail HALFCASTE CREAM SET for more information.
ReplyDelete대구출장샵
ReplyDelete대구출장샵
아산출장샵
아산출장샵
부산출장샵
서산출장샵
대전출장샵
서산출장샵
The principal region is in choosing the lawyer and the subsequent region is botches made in the wake of choosing the lawyer.
ReplyDeleteBrain Injury Attorneys
I have read your article, it is very informative and helpful for me.I really appreciate the valuable information that you provide in your articles. Thanks for posting it. Now it's time to avail taxi milwaukee for more information.
ReplyDeleteIn business matters, lawyers usually charge a discussion expense for the principal office meeting. https://frouharlaw.com/
ReplyDelete